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Szilard and Fermi can’t agree on whether to keep the uranium discoveries secret. Szilard fears the Germans will get wind of it and start a program to develop a bomb; Fermi believes the chance of success is only 10%, and it’s less suspicious to downplay the possibility than try to hide it. Uranium with an atomic weight of 238 is common; less than one percent of uranium has an atomic weight of 235. U238 will fission only after being struck by a high-energy neutron, but the U235 isotope will fission after accepting a neutron of any energy. Bohr realizes that U-235 is much more likely to form a chain reaction.
At Columbia, Szilard, Fermi, and Walter Zinn run a test that proves U235 emits twice as many neutrons during fission as it receives. A chain reaction is doable: “That night,” says Szilard, “there was very little doubt in my mind that the world was headed for grief” (292). Szilard and Fermi now support a military program to develop an atomic bomb, kept secret from the Germans, but Bohr thinks separating enough U235 will be nearly impossible, and he doesn’t want the openness of